Area of Expertise: Civil rights and liberties; history of women's suffrage, campaigns, and the presidency; election prediction; presidential and congressional campaigns; voting behavior; public opinion; party conventions; politics; American political history and analysis; first ladies
Additional Information: Allan J. Lichtman, professor of history in the College of Arts and Sciences, is a leading expert on presidential and congressional campaigns, voting behavior, public opinion, political history, and civil rights. In 2009, his book White Protestant Nation (Atlantic Monthly Press, 2008) was one of five finalists nominated in the nonfiction category for the National Book Critics Circle Award. Lichtman is well known for his “13 Keys” system, which enables him to predict the outcome of the popular vote solely on historical factors and not the use of candidate-preference polls, tactics, or campaign events. He used this system to predict Barack Obama’s win in 2008, George W. Bush's reelection in 2004, Al Gore’s popular vote victory in 2000, Bill Clinton’s win in 1996, George H. W. Bush’s defeat in 1992, and the outcome of the 1988 presidential election when Michael Dukakis was well ahead in the polls. Lichtman’s “13 Keys,” featured in his renowned book Keys to the White House, have been highlighted in dozens of articles throughout the world and are a resource for aspiring politicians. He regularly comments on politics and public affairs for many U.S. networks and numerous foreign broadcasting companies. Lichtman is also a noted civil rights authority, often serving as an expert witness in civil rights cases across the country. He has written numerous op-eds for the New York Times, Christian Science Monitor, Washington Post, and other major newspapers.